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Qual 502025 GRITS
Red78
334422.5
529330.8
164841.8
Blue54
886628.9
873625.3
100233.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181050501502007854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+16Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
22Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
42Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
78Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#10
41.81.7
48.847.1
Auto8.7
Teleop25.5
End7.6
red by 8.1
1002
#32
33.82.8
36.233.3
Auto7.5
Teleop25.2
End1.0
Second
30.81.7
32.130.4
Auto8.3
Teleop20.9
End1.6
red by 1.9
8866
#38
28.92.8
31.028.1
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End3.6
Third
3344
#18
22.51.7
25.724.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End2.9
blue by 2.8
8736
#15
25.32.8
29.226.4
Auto5.8
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed