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Qual 582025 GRITS
Red142
402636.3
886628.9
168368.5
Blue73
38155.5
507419.2
745136.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15045010020025014273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+73Teleop
+75Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +70
22Coral scored#8
78Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
110Total teleop40
Reef
9L4#3
8L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points6
142Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.50.8
66.267.0
Auto11.1
Teleop49.2
End8.2
red by 31.7
7451
#19
36.80.4
36.436.9
Auto7.5
Teleop25.6
End3.6
Second
4026
#16
36.30.8
35.736.5
Auto9.1
Teleop22.6
End4.6
red by 17.1
5074
#13
19.20.4
18.819.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Third
8866
#38
28.90.8
28.128.9
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End3.6
red by 23.4
3815
#27
5.50.4
5.15.5
Auto1.2
Teleop2.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned