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Red140
334422.5
507419.2
177187.7
Blue69
510939.3
634047.0
402636.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1641485010020014069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points17
36Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +45
13Coral scored#7
46Coral points25
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
80Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
8Foul points2
140Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.70.9
89.888.9
Auto26.2
Teleop51.0
End10.5
red by 40.7
6340
#12
47.04.8
56.551.7
Auto8.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
Second
3344
#18
22.50.9
31.230.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End2.9
blue by 16.7
5109
#21
39.34.8
38.133.3
Auto5.4
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Third
5074
#13
19.20.9
24.523.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End2.6
blue by 17.1
4026
#16
36.34.8
44.639.8
Auto9.1
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed