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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432702060801001204859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +20
6Coral scored#12
22Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
36Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
48Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#14
20.20.4
19.519.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
blue by 5.2
25.51.0
17.518.5
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
Second
8865
#27
14.90.4
10.410.0
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
red by 3.4
11.51.0
9.310.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Third
8815
#31
5.00.5
6.15.6
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End1.8
red by 1.5
6910
#34
3.51.3
1.62.9
Auto1.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed