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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100590501502007948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
54Total teleop29
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +31
12Foul points6
79Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.5
48.648.1
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
red by 29.9
2415
#20
21.10.5
21.621.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Second
25.50.5
23.022.5
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
red by 5.8
19.70.5
20.119.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
Third
8865
#27
14.90.5
12.512.0
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 0.5
8080
#28
15.40.5
15.815.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9