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Red156
35354.3
179247.4
83468.0
Blue208
494689.7
914064.4
223084.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15724350100200300156208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+58
Endgame+56
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points51
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +44
20Coral scored#21
71Coral points77
3Processor algae#6
2Net algae#7
18Processor points36
8Net points28
26Algae points64
97Total teleop141
Reef
11L4#13
7L3#6
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
32Game pieces#44
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
6Foul points2
156Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#45
68.00.9
64.363.4
Auto13.0
Teleop42.5
End12.5
blue by 21.7
89.71.5
86.184.6
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
Second
353
#43
54.30.9
52.351.4
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End3.0
blue by 30.6
2230
#28
84.91.5
80.178.6
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
Third
1792
#48
47.40.9
47.246.3
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End7.9
blue by 16.9
9140
#12
64.41.5
61.860.4
Auto12.2
Teleop44.0
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsMissed