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Red147
698932.8
755878.6
3420.1
Blue165
353661.6
776978.5
901639.8
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132200100150250300147165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+54
Endgame+36
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave0
5Coral scored#6
25Coral points29
34Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +59
11Coral scored#21
41Coral points76
3Processor algae#5
3Net algae#6
18Processor points30
12Net points24
30Algae points54
71Total teleop130
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#6
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#38
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
18Foul points0
147Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7558
#10
78.60.4
78.478.0
Auto19.2
Teleop47.8
End11.7
red by 0.1
7769
#32
78.51.5
78.376.8
Auto16.4
Teleop51.6
End10.4
Second
6989
#39
32.80.4
23.923.5
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End5.9
blue by 28.7
3536
#53
61.61.5
62.561.0
Auto10.9
Teleop42.6
End8.1
Third
34
#74
20.10.4
24.323.9
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End4.8
blue by 19.7
9016
#47
39.81.5
38.136.6
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsMissed