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Red124
186839.0
1069029.3
403971.5
Blue138
871125.1
643635.8
914064.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212750100200250124138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +25
14Coral scored#21
51Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
75Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#7
3L3#8
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points6
124Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#57
71.51.1
71.370.2
Auto17.8
Teleop44.2
End9.5
red by 7.1
9140
#12
64.40.8
58.859.6
Auto12.2
Teleop44.0
End8.1
Second
1868
#46
39.01.1
32.731.6
Auto11.8
Teleop22.9
End4.3
red by 3.3
6436
#69
35.80.8
35.135.9
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End1.1
Third
29.31.1
31.230.1
Auto5.1
Teleop21.2
End3.0
red by 4.2
8711
#73
25.10.8
20.321.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed