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Red170
281361.5
755878.6
452280.7
Blue229
97177.9
978568.0
447683.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237237180200220260280170229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+35
Endgame+53
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points51
37Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +18
23Coral scored#30
81Coral points109
5Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
30Processor points12
16Net points24
46Algae points36
127Total teleop145
Reef
10L4#15
7L3#14
7L2#8
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points6
170Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.71.2
82.080.7
Auto20.5
Teleop52.0
End8.3
blue by 2.2
4476
#14
83.00.1
82.482.3
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
Second
7558
#10
78.61.2
79.878.6
Auto19.2
Teleop47.8
End11.7
red by 0.7
971
#17
77.90.1
77.377.2
Auto13.2
Teleop53.5
End11.2
Third
2813
#20
61.51.2
62.761.5
Auto8.1
Teleop42.7
End10.7
blue by 6.5
9785
#34
68.00.1
67.467.3
Auto12.8
Teleop48.1
End7.0