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Red23
52195.5
876110.8
710419.9
Blue75
174616.5
682931.3
747017.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256704060801001201402375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+30
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop44
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#1
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
23Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7104
#19
19.90.9
16.115.1
Auto3.1
Teleop15.0
End1.8
blue by 11.4
31.30.4
24.925.3
Auto4.7
Teleop24.2
End2.3
Second
8761
#26
10.80.9
7.16.1
Auto0.9
Teleop8.0
End1.9
blue by 6.2
7470
#15
17.10.7
16.417.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Third
5219
#18
5.50.9
4.83.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
blue by 11.1
1746
#20
16.50.4
13.413.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned