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Red108
947724.2
682931.3
1037613.9
Blue105
908616.9
710419.9
881518.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7863050100150200108105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
18Processor points12
28Net points24
46Algae points36
90Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
108Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.6
28.529.1
Auto4.7
Teleop24.2
End2.3
red by 11.4
7104
#19
19.90.8
18.619.3
Auto3.1
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Second
9477
#10
24.20.6
21.422.0
Auto4.4
Teleop17.9
End1.9
red by 6.2
8815
#11
18.00.8
16.717.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Third
13.90.6
11.111.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 3.0
16.90.8
15.616.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.4