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Red83
174616.5
747017.1
692525.6
Blue87
908616.9
710419.9
881518.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697140506080901001108387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
63Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points6
83Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6925
#21
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto3.2
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 5.7
7104
#19
19.90.1
19.319.5
Auto3.1
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Second
7470
#15
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 0.9
8815
#11
18.00.1
17.417.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Third
1746
#20
16.50.0
16.616.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End5.1
blue by 0.3
16.90.1
16.316.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.4