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Red196
35973.9
481716.8
427079.2
Blue85
243856.5
247725.1
388244.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18513210015020025019685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+93Teleop
+105Endgame
+111Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
11Coral scored#5
54Coral points24
54Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +69
23Coral scored#12
84Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
122Total teleop53
Reef
10L4#6
11L3#5
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +111
6Foul points0
196Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.20.5
78.779.2
Auto16.2
Teleop54.2
End8.8
red by 22.7
56.51.0
57.556.5
Auto14.3
Teleop40.6
End1.6
Second
359
#3
73.90.5
73.573.9
Auto15.9
Teleop47.5
End10.6
red by 29.4
44.51.0
45.544.5
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
Third
4817
#24
16.80.5
16.316.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.8
blue by 8.3
2477
#31
25.11.0
26.025.1
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.9