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Red133
631732.2
1038420.9
763257.9
Blue168
388244.5
427079.2
289614.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85133050100150200250133168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
21Coral scored#23
74Coral points84
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#10
12Processor points12
12Net points40
24Algae points52
98Total teleop136
Reef
11L4#12
7L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
133Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.93.1
45.048.1
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.9
blue by 21.3
79.23.5
58.462.0
Auto16.2
Teleop54.2
End8.8
Second
32.24.7
21.926.6
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
blue by 12.3
44.52.9
37.440.3
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
Third
20.93.4
11.915.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
red by 6.6
2896
#27
14.34.4
17.421.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned