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Red130
244340.8
350149.2
86158.1
Blue43
36833.9
209011.3
388025.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78845060709010011012013013043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+75Teleop
+75Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +64
18Coral scored#6
66Coral points22
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
96Total teleop32
Reef
9L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
12Foul points0
130Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#10
49.23.2
20.423.6
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
red by 15.3
368
#17
33.94.6
36.532.0
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End1.3
Second
40.83.2
37.240.4
Auto9.0
Teleop29.2
End2.6
red by 15.8
3880
#15
25.02.7
20.717.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Third
8615
#29
8.14.4
15.119.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End1.5
blue by 3.2
2090
#23
11.34.6
18.013.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed