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Red56
962917.0
246540.4
244114.4
Blue105
425356.0
481716.8
772427.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6310005015020056105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+53
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
30Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
4Foul points0
56Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2465
#12
40.41.5
27.125.6
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End9.0
blue by 15.6
56.01.0
47.148.1
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
Second
9629
#25
17.01.5
14.312.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End0.9
blue by 10.0
7724
#16
27.01.6
18.820.4
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End1.8
Third
2441
#32
14.41.5
17.716.3
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
blue by 2.3
4817
#24
16.81.6
19.320.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned