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Red57
90199.8
209011.3
246540.4
Blue28
96459.6
631732.2
962917.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587520401001205728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
6Coral scored#3
22Coral points9
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
30Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
57Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2465
#12
40.40.0
37.937.9
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End9.0
red by 8.1
32.23.0
35.932.9
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End4.9
Second
2090
#23
11.30.0
8.28.1
Auto2.6
Teleop8.5
End0.2
blue by 5.7
9629
#25
17.03.0
20.017.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End0.9
Third
9019
#20
9.80.0
11.511.5
Auto1.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
red by 0.2
9645
#22
9.63.3
12.18.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed