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Red99
244340.8
234815.4
927732.0
Blue76
772427.0
244114.4
244527.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99762040601201401601809976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points7
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
65Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
99Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.6
40.941.5
Auto9.0
Teleop29.2
End2.6
red by 13.2
2445
#14
27.60.0
28.428.4
Auto5.5
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Second
9277
#11
32.00.6
31.532.0
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End6.3
red by 5.0
7724
#16
27.00.0
27.127.1
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End1.8
Third
2348
#28
15.40.7
14.715.4
Auto2.5
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 0.9
2441
#32
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed