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Red167
350149.2
425356.0
1038420.9
Blue133
887115.2
388025.0
763257.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401066080120160180200167133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
19Coral scored#20
68Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
12Processor points12
32Net points16
44Algae points28
112Total teleop99
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#9
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#31
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
167Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.8
54.254.9
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
blue by 1.9
57.90.6
57.357.9
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.9
Second
3501
#10
49.20.8
47.448.2
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
red by 24.2
3880
#15
25.00.6
24.525.0
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Third
20.90.8
19.119.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5
red by 5.6
8871
#33
15.20.6
14.715.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8