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Red154
243856.5
247725.1
388244.5
Blue139
350149.2
425356.0
1038420.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140141125130135145150155160154139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
22Coral scored#17
80Coral points61
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
108Total teleop91
Reef
13L4#8
5L3#5
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
16Cage & park18
16Total endgame18
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
154Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.50.4
56.957.3
Auto14.3
Teleop40.6
End1.6
red by 0.5
56.00.0
56.056.0
Auto16.3
Teleop30.7
End9.0
Second
44.50.4
44.945.3
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End6.4
blue by 4.7
3501
#10
49.20.0
49.249.2
Auto11.7
Teleop36.8
End0.8
Third
2477
#31
25.10.4
25.525.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.9
red by 4.2
20.90.0
20.820.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End2.5