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Red211
276783.0
287773.3
176880.3
Blue152
333976.6
220081.1
115366.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256243150200300350211152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+43Teleop
+63Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points27
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +32
29Coral scored#18
103Coral points65
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
141Total teleop109
Reef
14L4#9
11L3#4
9L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points4
211Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#33
83.00.6
83.683.0
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
red by 1.9
81.11.8
82.981.1
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
Second
80.30.6
80.980.3
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
red by 3.6
76.61.8
78.476.6
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
Third
2877
#32
73.30.6
73.973.3
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
red by 6.8
1153
#57
66.51.8
68.366.5
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1