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Red111
247041.2
954520.1
88857.7
Blue203
115366.5
924571.6
252275.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11423850100150200300111203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+64
Endgame+86
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +16
9Leave9
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
16Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +48
18Coral scored#25
63Coral points91
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#9
12Processor points12
16Net points36
28Algae points48
91Total teleop139
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#9
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
0Foul points6
111Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#47
57.71.4
59.357.8
Auto17.2
Teleop39.4
End1.2
blue by 17.5
2522
#38
75.22.0
70.868.7
Auto21.3
Teleop45.2
End8.8
Second
2470
#70
41.21.4
46.645.2
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End3.0
blue by 30.4
71.62.0
67.165.1
Auto14.5
Teleop49.1
End8.1
Third
9545
#72
20.11.4
12.310.9
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
blue by 46.4
1153
#57
66.52.0
75.873.8
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned