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Red176
304570.7
388252.5
1022442.7
Blue219
220081.1
333976.6
859535.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174215100150200250300176219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+51
Endgame+61
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +37
20Coral scored#32
71Coral points116
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
24Processor points24
24Net points16
48Algae points40
119Total teleop156
Reef
6L4#18
10L3#11
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
18Foul points0
176Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#45
70.71.1
70.769.6
Auto16.0
Teleop47.2
End7.6
blue by 10.3
81.11.2
83.384.5
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
Second
3882
#15
52.51.1
49.047.9
Auto6.9
Teleop36.1
End9.5
blue by 24.1
76.61.2
73.074.1
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
Third
42.71.1
43.742.6
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End4.3
red by 6.8
8595
#55
35.91.2
34.235.3
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned