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Red214
19571.5
662174.0
176880.3
Blue176
278357.7
150661.8
7063.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246199150300350214176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
40Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +41
37Coral scored#22
132Coral points79
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
18Processor points18
8Net points20
26Algae points38
158Total teleop117
Reef
13L4#10
16L3#7
6L2#7
8L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
214Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.31.6
80.579.0
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
red by 16.9
70
#40
63.41.7
67.966.3
Auto12.4
Teleop40.6
End10.4
Second
74.01.6
71.570.0
Auto15.4
Teleop47.9
End10.7
red by 12.2
1506
#24
61.81.7
61.459.7
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End8.1
Third
195
#39
71.51.6
74.172.5
Auto16.4
Teleop47.0
End8.1
red by 13.8
2783
#37
57.71.7
60.358.7
Auto16.7
Teleop31.4
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned