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Red106
485924.4
882127.4
557614.7
Blue95
906123.6
178533.9
802424.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61730204010012014016010695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
81Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
12Foul points6
106Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8821
#26
27.42.3
23.625.9
Auto4.0
Teleop22.1
End1.4
blue by 6.5
1785
#24
33.91.1
22.423.6
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0
Second
4859
#39
24.43.1
24.227.3
Auto4.0
Teleop18.4
End2.0
red by 0.2
8024
#19
24.21.4
21.923.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.9
Third
5576
#22
14.71.9
9.711.5
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 8.9
9061
#33
23.61.8
19.921.7
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned