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Red102
495924.4
1043917.3
957647.4
Blue90
639139.9
641923.8
954321.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9576406012014016010290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points11
22Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
66Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
102Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.7
35.537.1
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
red by 7.6
39.91.7
33.835.6
Auto8.7
Teleop27.2
End3.9
Second
4959
#30
24.41.4
21.422.7
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End3.4
red by 0.6
6419
#45
23.81.5
16.918.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Third
17.32.3
24.827.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End1.5
blue by 3.8
9543
#16
21.12.6
16.218.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned