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Red93
162551.0
527522.1
87669.6
Blue134
170683.4
802424.2
372320.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8413105010015020093134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+15
Endgame+23
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points25
23Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points41
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
54Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points18
93Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#12
51.01.8
34.736.5
Auto9.2
Teleop33.0
End8.9
blue by 32.3
83.40.5
67.067.5
Auto21.7
Teleop51.3
End10.4
Second
5275
#37
22.11.8
22.724.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.4
End3.0
blue by 2.1
8024
#19
24.20.5
23.223.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.9
Third
8766
#40Sur
9.61.8
19.321.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End1.8
blue by 10.7
3723
#46
20.30.8
18.619.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned