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Red80
372320.3
313429.7
504128.4
Blue137
957647.4
283937.0
17122.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103952040608012014016018080137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+59
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
15Coral points26
18Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +51
10Coral scored#18
36Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
46Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
80Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
#47
29.71.4
34.132.7
Auto4.5
Teleop23.7
End1.6
blue by 17.7
47.42.8
37.340.2
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
Second
5041
#17
28.42.4
33.731.3
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End5.8
blue by 8.6
2839
#14
37.02.8
29.232.0
Auto4.6
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Third
3723
#46
20.32.4
19.417.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 2.1
171
#31
22.32.8
13.916.8
Auto5.6
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsEarned