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Red97
426013.3
641923.8
462444.1
Blue123
909249.7
955132.0
906123.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9111440608010014016018020097123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
13Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +4
16Coral scored#18
56Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
78Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#7
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
97Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4624
#18
44.10.9
40.341.2
Auto8.0
Teleop34.5
End1.6
blue by 5.6
49.71.7
48.149.8
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End9.8
Second
6419
#45
23.80.9
20.621.5
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.0
blue by 8.2
9551
#29
32.01.7
25.026.7
Auto6.3
Teleop23.6
End2.1
Third
4260
#51
13.31.4
20.521.9
Auto1.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 10.4
9061
#33
23.62.8
21.624.4
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned