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Red122
957015.2
957647.4
641923.8
Blue148
950820.4
170683.4
583733.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8415850100200122148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+28
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
12Coral scored#21
44Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
76Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#6
2L2#8
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
122Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.42.2
43.045.2
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
blue by 35.9
83.40.4
72.973.3
Auto21.7
Teleop51.3
End10.4
Second
6419
#45
23.82.2
22.024.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.0
blue by 9.3
5837
#21
33.10.6
33.133.7
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.4
Third
9570
#32
15.22.2
13.015.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.8
blue by 5.3
9508
#35
20.40.6
25.426.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned