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Red158
753128.1
639139.9
162551.0
Blue121
544239.3
955132.0
909249.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129137100120160180158121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+25Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave3
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points22
34Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +16
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
6Processor points12
24Net points12
30Algae points24
98Total teleop82
Reef
10L4#10
5L3#5
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
158Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#12
51.01.2
50.651.8
Auto9.2
Teleop33.0
End8.9
red by 1.3
49.70.0
49.849.8
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End9.8
Second
39.90.9
39.640.4
Auto8.7
Teleop27.2
End3.9
red by 0.6
5442
#15
39.30.0
39.439.4
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End3.5
Third
7531
#36
28.11.2
27.828.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End1.5
blue by 3.8
9551
#29
32.00.0
32.132.1
Auto6.3
Teleop23.6
End2.1