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Red129
754143.5
52547.1
583733.1
Blue155
957647.4
178533.9
392849.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134135100120140160180129155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
19Coral scored#24
68Coral points85
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
82Total teleop99
Reef
11L4#12
4L3#9
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
129Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#7
47.10.1
47.547.6
Auto8.4
Teleop35.2
End3.6
blue by 2.3
3928
#11
49.40.7
46.447.1
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
Second
43.50.1
43.944.1
Auto6.4
Teleop28.9
End8.2
blue by 3.9
47.40.7
44.445.2
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
Third
5837
#21
33.10.1
32.933.1
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.4
blue by 0.9
1785
#24
33.90.7
30.931.7
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0