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Red49
997820.4
64814.1
99956.2
Blue40
1043912.9
96730.8
99875.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36670501001504940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
34Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
49Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9978
#10
20.40.9
16.016.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9
blue by 10.4
967
#17
30.81.5
37.836.2
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
Second
648
#8
14.10.5
17.217.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.9
red by 1.2
12.91.5
11.49.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End0.3
Third
9995
#16
6.20.9
8.08.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
red by 0.8
9987
#14
5.32.6
8.05.4
Auto0.1
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed