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Red142
997820.4
641920.8
16760.7
Blue135
198776.2
99875.3
504125.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97129050150200250142135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+19Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points14
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
97Total teleop96
Reef
8L4#9
9L3#3
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
142Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#2
60.73.2
59.062.2
Auto20.5
Teleop38.0
End2.3
blue by 15.5
76.21.7
73.975.6
Auto17.0
Teleop49.1
End10.2
Second
20.83.2
18.121.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 5.1
25.91.7
30.131.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End3.5
Third
9978
#10
20.45.3
16.922.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9
red by 15.1
9987
#14
5.32.8
5.48.3
Auto0.1
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned