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Red112
642023.6
198776.2
997820.4
Blue102
16760.7
99956.2
96730.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610450150200112102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points21
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +3
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
58Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
112Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.9
77.977.0
Auto17.0
Teleop49.1
End10.2
red by 15.5
167
#2
60.70.2
60.660.8
Auto20.5
Teleop38.0
End2.3
Second
6420
#13
23.60.9
24.423.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End6.4
blue by 7.2
967
#17
30.80.2
33.233.4
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
Third
9978
#10
20.41.3
23.221.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9
red by 14.3
9995
#16
6.20.2
5.86.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned