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Red79
909238.6
642023.6
997820.4
Blue81
96730.8
504125.9
64814.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91812040601001201407981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
6Processor points6
20Net points20
26Algae points26
53Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
79Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.2
39.739.5
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End4.1
red by 7.8
967
#17
30.80.1
32.933.0
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
Second
6420
#13
23.60.2
24.724.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End6.4
blue by 2.3
25.90.1
27.928.0
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End3.5
Third
9978
#10
20.40.2
21.921.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9
red by 6.4
648
#8
14.10.1
16.116.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.9