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Red150
16760.7
387117.6
392850.5
Blue0
641920.8
957014.2
99956.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145240501002002501500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+79Teleop
+87Endgame
+150Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
40Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +52
19Coral scored#7
68Coral points24
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
96Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#3
8L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +150
2Foul points-61
150Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#2
60.70.6
58.158.7
Auto20.5
Teleop38.0
End2.3
red by 39.9
6419
#6DQ
20.80.5
20.020.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Second
50.50.6
47.948.5
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End8.6
red by 36.3
9570
#5DQ
14.20.5
13.413.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Third
3871
#12
17.60.6
15.015.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
red by 11.4
9995
#16DQ
6.20.7
5.15.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7