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Red116
944916.4
114853.5
593323.0
Blue139
11536.8
39938.3
494439.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85107050150200116139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
13Coral scored#25
48Coral points90
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
86Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#10
3L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
116Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.52.2
41.543.7
Auto9.7
Teleop36.9
End6.9
red by 14.3
4944
#14
39.22.1
34.436.6
Auto4.4
Teleop29.5
End5.3
Second
5933
#30
23.02.2
15.918.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End0.7
blue by 15.3
399
#35
38.32.1
30.432.5
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End5.0
Third
9449
#37
16.42.2
14.216.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 20.4
115
#19
36.82.1
24.827.0
Auto4.4
Teleop28.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned