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Red77
875614.8
648745.2
639030.2
Blue93
417533.8
924310.9
883937.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77780501001502007793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+6
Endgame+14
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +2
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
62Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points2
77Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6487
#13
45.20.7
35.736.3
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End6.9
red by 7.9
8839
#33
37.32.2
28.931.1
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
6390
#43
30.20.6
21.922.5
Auto7.5
Teleop20.8
End1.9
blue by 3.6
4175
#17
33.81.3
26.027.4
Auto5.9
Teleop22.7
End5.1
Third
8756
#50
14.81.0
10.311.4
Auto1.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 3.9
9243
#49
10.92.2
16.118.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned