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Red37
964918.3
973715.8
972615.5
Blue115
944916.4
636439.3
385922.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6382204010012037115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+64
Endgame+66
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points29
6Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +41
5Coral scored#15
19Coral points54
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
27Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#6
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points12
37Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9649
#42
18.31.9
17.415.6
Auto2.9
Teleop13.4
End2.1
blue by 21.0
6364
#24
39.31.6
33.535.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End4.8
Second
9737
#31
15.83.1
22.519.4
Auto2.2
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 6.8
3859
#16
22.71.6
19.421.0
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
Third
9726
#25
15.53.1
17.314.2
Auto1.6
Teleop12.2
End1.7
blue by 0.9
9449
#37
16.41.6
16.418.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed