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Red124
648745.2
924310.9
330945.3
Blue59
593323.0
855018.5
328811.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10745015012459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+49Teleop
+71Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +32
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
62Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
6Foul points12
124Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.31.5
40.141.7
Auto13.9
Teleop23.4
End8.1
red by 22.3
5933
#30
23.00.6
18.117.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End0.7
Second
6487
#13
45.21.5
36.337.9
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End6.9
red by 26.8
8550
#36
18.50.9
24.923.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Third
9243
#49
10.92.6
18.320.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
blue by 0.9
3288
#48
11.90.6
9.58.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed