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Red50
931418.0
855116.4
636439.3
Blue96
156929.4
328811.9
324540.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69832040601001201405096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+24
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#10
23Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
35Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
50Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6364
#24
39.30.9
35.134.2
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End4.8
blue by 1.3
3245
#38
40.51.5
38.139.6
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7
Second
9314
#45
18.01.5
13.211.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
blue by 11.4
1569
#20
29.41.5
26.127.6
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End4.9
Third
8551
#39
16.41.5
15.213.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.7
red by 4.5
3288
#48
11.91.5
8.910.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned