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Red36
964918.3
459826.6
156623.1
Blue73
855018.5
904430.5
833818.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576902040801001203673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +22
3Coral scored#8
10Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
20Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points14
36Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4598
#22
26.61.5
21.620.1
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End2.0
blue by 3.9
30.50.3
25.725.3
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End4.5
Second
1566
#44
23.12.4
20.818.4
Auto4.5
Teleop16.2
End2.3
red by 4.6
8550
#36
18.50.5
23.923.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Third
9649
#42
18.31.5
15.614.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.4
End2.1
red by 0.3
8338
#46
18.00.3
14.414.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned