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Red108
385922.7
304568.6
417533.8
Blue103
494439.2
366925.9
68727.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12690406080100140160180108103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+31Teleop
+9Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points52
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
74Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#6
8L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points4
108Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.61.1
63.462.3
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
red by 29.4
4944
#14
39.20.1
37.938.0
Auto4.4
Teleop29.5
End5.3
Second
4175
#17
33.81.1
28.327.3
Auto5.9
Teleop22.7
End5.1
red by 6.1
687
#29
27.70.1
24.925.0
Auto6.2
Teleop17.7
End3.8
Third
3859
#16
22.71.1
21.020.0
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
blue by 3.2
3669
#41
25.90.2
23.323.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned