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Red43
888519.9
587114.1
1044815.7
Blue113
546124.8
964918.3
417533.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6971405060809010011043113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+52
Endgame+64
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +42
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points48
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
30Total teleop72
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points6
43Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8885
#47
19.91.8
23.721.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End3.3
blue by 13.9
4175
#17
33.82.3
27.329.6
Auto5.9
Teleop22.7
End5.1
Second
15.73.1
19.716.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End1.5
blue by 9.1
5461
#11
24.82.3
19.021.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.5
End4.0
Third
5871
#51
14.13.1
16.413.3
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End2.0
blue by 4.2
9649
#42
18.32.3
14.116.4
Auto2.9
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned