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Red155
259427.4
330945.3
281354.1
Blue48
931418.0
39938.3
1039513.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1336505010015020015548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+95Teleop
+105Endgame
+107Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +77
22Coral scored#5
78Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
102Total teleop25
Reef
8L4#2
9L3#2
4L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +107
2Foul points0
155Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.12.6
48.951.5
Auto8.2
Teleop35.0
End10.8
red by 15.8
399
#35
38.31.2
35.033.8
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End5.0
Second
45.32.6
43.045.6
Auto13.9
Teleop23.4
End8.1
red by 27.3
9314
#45
18.02.1
11.79.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
Third
2594
#12
27.42.6
21.724.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.6
End3.1
red by 13.6
13.82.1
19.917.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned