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Red54
328811.9
964918.3
494439.2
Blue125
213021.7
19232.1
300654.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6483204010012014054125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+53
Endgame+73
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
9Coral scored#14
32Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
42Total teleop78
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
2Foul points0
54Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#14
39.20.5
32.832.2
Auto4.4
Teleop29.5
End5.3
blue by 15.2
54.44.0
36.040.0
Auto13.1
Teleop33.6
End7.6
Second
9649
#42
18.30.6
14.914.3
Auto2.9
Teleop13.4
End2.1
blue by 13.8
192
#15
32.13.6
15.919.5
Auto4.9
Teleop23.3
End3.9
Third
3288
#48
11.90.5
11.611.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 9.8
2130
#18
21.76.0
18.724.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned