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Red197
304568.6
324540.5
281354.1
Blue159
11536.8
19232.1
69659.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17113050100150200250197159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+12Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave9
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points18
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +6
22Coral scored#26
80Coral points94
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
24Processor points12
28Net points20
52Algae points32
132Total teleop126
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#12
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#37
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
197Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.7
67.768.4
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
red by 8.8
696
#6
59.80.7
59.159.8
Auto13.3
Teleop43.4
End3.1
Second
54.10.7
53.153.8
Auto8.2
Teleop35.0
End10.8
red by 17.3
115
#19
36.80.7
36.136.8
Auto4.4
Teleop28.7
End3.7
Third
3245
#38
40.50.7
39.640.3
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7
red by 8.4
192
#15
32.10.7
31.432.1
Auto4.9
Teleop23.3
End3.9