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Red168
304568.6
324540.5
281354.1
Blue124
636439.3
546124.8
648745.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17310850150200250168124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
7Coral scored#6
33Coral points30
36Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +26
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points40
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
94Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +44
12Foul points0
168Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.0
66.666.6
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
red by 23.4
6487
#13
45.20.4
44.044.4
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End6.9
Second
54.10.0
52.152.0
Auto8.2
Teleop35.0
End10.8
red by 14.8
6364
#24
39.30.4
38.138.5
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End4.8
Third
3245
#38
40.50.0
38.538.5
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7
red by 15.7
5461
#11
24.80.4
23.724.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.5
End4.0