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Red61
486325.1
512517.0
1043825.2
Blue121
966914.6
32348.9
888042.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions709502040608012014016061121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+58
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +48
11Coral scored#19
38Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
48Total teleop96
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
61Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.1
24.523.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.0
End1.1
blue by 23.7
323
#3
48.91.8
31.833.7
Auto8.0
Teleop36.1
End4.7
Second
4863
#16Sur
25.11.5
19.918.4
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.3
blue by 17.0
8880
#11
42.01.8
34.236.0
Auto6.1
Teleop31.2
End4.7
Third
5125
#32
17.00.9
18.717.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End1.5
red by 2.5
9669
#28Sur
14.63.1
16.319.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed